WIFO Economic Outlook

The analysis and forecast of the business cycle is a core competence of WIFO. The series "WIFO Economic Outlook" presents the quarterly economic forecast, which focuses on the current and next year. The economic outlook is based on WIFO's Flash Estimates of the Quarterly National Accounts and the results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest (business cycle survey in cooperation with the European Commission) as well as short-term estimates of economic development based on high-frequency economic indicators, such as the Weekly WIFO Economic Index (WWWI).

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Schwaches Wachstum bei hoher Unsicherheit. Prognose für 2023 und 2024 (Weak Growth Amid High Uncertainty. Economic Outlook for 2023 and 2024)
WIFO Economic Outlook (German version), 2023, (2), 35 pages
Online since: 28.06.2023 10:00
Nach einem kräftigen Wachstum im 1. Halbjahr 2022 trat die österreichische Volkswirtschaft in eine Stagnationsphase ein, die 2023 anhält. Die Sachgütererzeugung und damit eng verflochtene Sektoren befinden sich mittlerweile in einer Rezession, während die Marktdienstleistungen insgesamt expandieren. Diese Zweiteilung der Konjunktur dürfte sich erst 2024 abschwächen. Nach +0,3% im Jahr 2023 erwartet das WIFO für 2024 ein BIP-Wachstum von 1,4%. Der Preisauftrieb ebbt nur langsam ab.
Keywords:WIFO-Konjunkturprognose
Research group:Macroeconomics and Public Finance
Language:German

Weak Growth Amid High Uncertainty. Economic Outlook for 2023 and 2024
After strong growth in the first half of 2022, the Austrian economy entered a phase of stagnation that will continue in 2023. Manufacturing and closely related sectors are now in recession, while market-related services are expanding overall. This dichotomy in the business cycle is not expected to abate until 2024. After +0.3 percent in 2023, WIFO expects GDP growth of 1.4 percent in 2024. The upward pressure on prices will only subside slowly.

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